CNNMoney.com
Companies Economy International Corrections Pre-market trading After-hours trading Winners/losers/actives Bonds Currencies Commodities Money Magazine Retirement Mutual Funds Taxes Ask the Expert Money 101 Autos Loan Center Best Places to Live Calculators Mortgage Rates Personal tech Big Tech blog Techland blog Sectors and stocks Fortune 500 techs Tech Talk 100 best places to launch Ultimate resource guide Small biz makeovers FSB 100 Ask & Answer Fortune 500 Technology Investing Management Rankings Main Create portfolio Edit portfolio Create Alerts Edit Alerts

Peter Parker did it. ”Spider-Man 3″ set an industry record, with a box office take of $148 million in the U.S. during its opening weekend. The previous record was held by last year’s ”Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest,” which sold $135.6 million’s worth of tickets last July. 

Despite mixed reviews, the third movie in the ”Spider-Man” franchise seems likely to surpass the $300 million mark domestically in a matter of weeks and could wind up as the biggest hit of what’s shaping up to be a hotly contested summer of sequels.  Now analysts will be watching to see if DreamWorks Animation’s (DWA) “Shrek the Third” or Walt Disney’s (DIS) “Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End” can top “Spider-Man 3″ at the multiplexes of America.

But on Wall Street, the two stocks with the most to gain from Spidey-mania headed in opposite directions Monday morning. Marvel Entertainment (MVL), the company who created the Spider-Man comics and has raked in big profits during the past few years by licensing the rights to use its characters for movies, video games, toys and even a Broadway musical, fell more than 1 percent.

Shares of Sony (SNE), on the other hand, which owns the Columbia Pictures studio that released the movie, gained more than 1 percent Monday morning.

What gives? Well, Marvel has already had a nice run-up as of late, surging more than 11 percent so far this year and nearly 50 percent in the past 12 months due to optimism about the movie and the impact it would have on Marvel’s bottom line. Marvel has an agreement with Sony where it gets a cut of the movie’s box office sales.

And as FORTUNE’s David Stires pointed out last week, there may be reason to be nervous about Marvel’s future since the company, starting next year, will begin producing its own movies instead of just partnering with the big Hollywood studios.

This strategy could be a financial boon for Marvel since it would allow the company to capture more of the profits from a big hit. But it is also incredibly risky, especially since the company is using the rights to several of its characters as collateral in a $525 million debt financing deal with Merrill Lynch (MER).

Nonetheless, it will be interesting to see what Marvel’s management team has to say about the success of “Spider-Man 3″ when the company reports its results for the first quarter on Tuesday morning.  The latest exploits about the kid from Forest Hills - forget Kevin James, Spider-Man is the real “King of Queens” - won’t have an impact on Marvel’s first quarter results.

But if Marvel is able to boost its financial targets for 2007 thanks to “Spider-Man 3,” that could wind up giving Marvel’s stock some more room to run. According to estimates from Thomson Financial, analysts are predicting that Marvel will earn $1.46 a share this year on sales of $433.4 million. 

Marvel issued sales guidance for 2007 that disappointed investors and then lowered its profit forecast in February.  Yet, Marvel has been a heroic performer on Wall Street so far this year. 

We pointed out in a Stock Spotlight feature on Marvel back in February that Marvel’s stock, despite its big run-up, still was trading at a valuation that was comparable to those for other small and mid-sized media companies like Lionsgate (LGF). But in order to remain on top, the company has to spin a big web of revenue and profits to keep momentum investors satisfied.

Will the company’s friendly neighborhood box office champ deliver? Stay tuned.   

Filed under Marvel, Sony, movies
Posted by Paul R. La Monica 10:52 am 0 Comments comment | Add a comment

To send a letter to the editor about Media Biz, click hereTop of page


© 2008 Cable News Network. A Time Warner Company. All Rights Reserved. Terms under which this service is provided to you. Privacy Policy
Copyright © 2008 BigCharts.com Inc. All rights reserved. Please see our Terms of Use.
MarketWatch, the MarketWatch logo, and BigCharts are registered trademarks of MarketWatch, Inc.
Intraday data delayed 15 minutes for Nasdaq, and 20 minutes for other exchanges. All Times are ET.
Intraday data provided by Interactive Data Real-Time Services and subject to the Terms of Use.
Historical, current end-of-day data, and splits data provided by Interactive Data Pricing and Reference Data.
Fundamental data provided by Hemscott.
SEC Filings data provided by Edgar Online Inc..
Earnings data provided by FactSet CallStreet, LLC.